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One Thousand "$1000" Dollars SAK on eBay!!!


us Offline condcup

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Re: One Thousand "$1000" Dollars SAK on eBay!!!
Reply #1 on: May 14, 2013, 03:44:54 AM
WOW!!! :o



gb Offline nsa-x-file

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Re: One Thousand "$1000" Dollars SAK on eBay!!!
Reply #2 on: May 14, 2013, 11:27:59 AM
Ok, I've been around collecting for a while, but that's the most crazy auction bidding i've seen in a long time.
I wonder if the buyer 'jimyleee' from China follows through with the purchase and pays up?  :think:
« Last Edit: May 14, 2013, 11:30:34 AM by nsa-x-file »


de Offline crackout

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Re: One Thousand "$1000" Dollars SAK on eBay!!!
Reply #3 on: May 14, 2013, 11:29:52 AM
This is insane.

I'm still glad I got my silver one for 40 bucks. ::)
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gb Offline nsa-x-file

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Re: One Thousand "$1000" Dollars SAK on eBay!!!
Reply #4 on: May 14, 2013, 11:32:38 AM
The bidding at the end was the crazy part, went from $499 to $1,045 in no time at all.



do Offline Blade runner

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Re: One Thousand "$1000" Dollars SAK on eBay!!!
Reply #5 on: May 14, 2013, 12:01:22 PM
This guy Jimmylee have won almost any intresting auctions since april,  have spend 8,000 in less than 2 month :rant:
Looks like  paid very fast, if you read his feedback.


us Offline Joe58

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Re: One Thousand "$1000" Dollars SAK on eBay!!!
Reply #6 on: May 14, 2013, 02:10:01 PM
Wow!  I guess like anything else people collect, they are worth what people will pay.

This just seems to be ridiculous though. Are these that scarce, or is there a perception out
there that the worth of these will continue to climb even higher?

I know these crazy prices on the slightly older SAK's has me priced right out of the game.

 :ahhh

Joe
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us Offline Monrogue

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Re: One Thousand "$1000" Dollars SAK on eBay!!!
Reply #7 on: May 14, 2013, 03:45:44 PM
I wish I had the kind of dough to burn through that some people seem to have.  I can't imagine spending that much on a MT/SAK, let alone justifying it.  But as has been said, if someone has plenty of cash to blow and thinks the item is worth it, then good for them.  I still think a person would be crazy to spend that much though, or just plain wealthy :P
K-Tibbs


cn Offline CYYL

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Re: One Thousand "$1000" Dollars SAK on eBay!!!
Reply #8 on: May 14, 2013, 04:01:28 PM
ok, I just know the man is very very rich...he spent more than 60K bucks in half year on SAKs.


us Offline Marius

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Re: One Thousand "$1000" Dollars SAK on eBay!!!
Reply #9 on: May 14, 2013, 04:04:05 PM
 :D good for him


us Offline jazzbass

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Re: One Thousand "$1000" Dollars SAK on eBay!!!
Reply #10 on: May 14, 2013, 04:17:41 PM
This just seems to be ridiculous though. Are these that scarce, or is there a perception out
there that the worth of these will continue to climb even higher?

With Voyageurs its mostly perception. That's not to say that they aren't very cool (the only official alox with scissors) and unusual, but they are not as hard to find as people on the internet make them out to be ("OMG they are super, super rare!!!!").

Long winded opinion on SAK collecting to follow:

Sites like this forum promote interest in the hobby of collecting these old/unusual knives. This in and of itself is fine - there are a lot of coin collecting forums that don't typically cause prices to spike. IMO, the price spikes with SAKs come as a combo of heightened awareness from places like this plus there three problems:

1. The majority of SAK collectors are new to the hobby and only get into it for a year or so.
2. there is very, very little quantifiable data on how rare any model of SAK is.
3. The main source for old SAKs is primarily eBay, where they are sold in a very serial type fashion.

The result of these three issues causes a relatively constant stream of new people, without any history or experience, to jump in feet first into eBay and buy up every single "rare" knife they can find for as much as they can pay, because they read here (correctly or not) that its rare and they have no clue when they'll ever find one of these for sale again.

This Jimylee is just the latest (and possibly the wealthiest) person to do this. He's been buying heavily only since Feb 2013. In addition to his $1000 Voyageur, he also bought a 1984 Commemorative Champion for $370 and lost an XXLT witha $700 bid. I can tell you from my years of collecting that an XXLT is, on average, a $350 knife. They go up for sale (almost always in NIB condition) about once a month. The 1984 Champion is a $150-ish knife that goes up for sale (again typically NIB) every month and a half.

These guys then get tired out (or buy all the knives they want) and disappear. Prices settle down for a while, then a couple months later a new guy appears and it starts all over again. Lather, rinse, repeat. However, the damage is done - the prices come down a bit, but not to the previous levels. For example, people will remember this auction for a while. Next time a red NIB Voyageur goes up for sale they'll be thrilled to get it for $500 (OMG it's a $1000 knife!!!). However, it was "only" a $350 knife before Jimy bid it up to $1000. Now it's a $500 knife - the prices have been bumped.

BTW, understand, I'm not really condemning these guys for this. Just trying to explain it. If I think back to when I started collecting 5 years ago, I was one of these guys, albeit on a slightly smaller scale (prices weren't as high back then and lord knows I don't have this kind of money). Anyway, food for thought.

Back to the original question - how rare are Voyageurs? Here you go. Most ever paid is by Jimy as you can obviously see. Least ever paid was $10. The go up for sale on average once every 33 days and they average about $75-$125 based on condition:



« Last Edit: May 14, 2013, 04:21:13 PM by jazzbass »


us Offline GigaHz

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Re: One Thousand "$1000" Dollars SAK on eBay!!!
Reply #11 on: May 14, 2013, 04:54:08 PM
Just curios, does your tracking catch the ones that people don't know what they have or are misidentified?


de Offline crackout

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Re: One Thousand "$1000" Dollars SAK on eBay!!!
Reply #12 on: May 14, 2013, 04:55:31 PM
However, that includes models of each type and colour which makes them hard to compare.

Did you split your statistics even further?
Let's say for red ones which are in great condition?
Say my name.


us Offline jazzbass

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Re: One Thousand "$1000" Dollars SAK on eBay!!!
Reply #13 on: May 14, 2013, 05:01:16 PM
Just curios, does your tracking catch the ones that people don't know what they have or are misidentified?
It catches them if I do. Its a manual process - it's me searching eBay looking for things to buy. I look at all the SAK auctions and for the interesting ones I identify the knives in the auction. I'm pretty good at identifying knives, so I'd guess my success rate for auctions that I see is > 95%. If the auctions don't show up in my search or get purchased in a BIN before I see them, they obviously don't get factored into the data.

However, that includes models of each type and colour which makes them hard to compare.

Did you split your statistics even further?
Let's say for red ones which are in great condition?

For old alox knives I can split them by color. I keep all pictures for the auctions so I can gauge condition as well.


it Offline basilio

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Re: One Thousand "$1000" Dollars SAK on eBay!!!
Reply #14 on: May 14, 2013, 05:19:07 PM
Thanks jazzbass!
I think your post is very informative!

If the auctions don't show up in my search or get purchased in a BIN before I see them, they obviously don't get factored into the data.


You can always use the "complete listing" option on ebay advanced search. This way you could also keep records of auctions ended with a buy it now.
-----------
Unfortunately I just see that this Jimyleee started buying also Wenger's .......  :facepalm:
« Last Edit: May 14, 2013, 05:22:32 PM by basilio »


hr Offline enki_ck

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Re: One Thousand "$1000" Dollars SAK on eBay!!!
Reply #15 on: May 14, 2013, 05:59:25 PM
The problem is this Jimmy has to be bidding against someone with equally deep pockets or the prices wouldn't go as high up. :think: That means there are at least two of them. :ahhh


gb Offline nsa-x-file

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Re: One Thousand "$1000" Dollars SAK on eBay!!!
Reply #16 on: May 14, 2013, 06:02:38 PM
Excellent post jazzbass.  :salute:


dk Offline kniv-per

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Re: One Thousand "$1000" Dollars SAK on eBay!!!
Reply #17 on: May 14, 2013, 10:12:40 PM
Ok, I've been around collecting for a while, but that's the most crazy auction bidding i've seen in a long time.
I wonder if the buyer 'jimyleee' from China follows through with the purchase and pays up?  :think:

 :climber:  .  :gimme:

Should have known this, when I found the last batch of "good stuff" .. :facepalm:
..
Could have been a rich man now ... :drink:
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00 Offline papercut

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Re: One Thousand "$1000" Dollars SAK on eBay!!!
Reply #18 on: May 15, 2013, 03:31:44 AM
Yes, Per I think it could have been handled slightly more effectively.  The guys that got in early are sure happy though!
Lurking with a large collection of sharp knives!


00 Offline papercut

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Re: One Thousand "$1000" Dollars SAK on eBay!!!
Reply #19 on: May 15, 2013, 03:32:41 AM
Also- I have seen a few Chinese forums focused on sak and rare alox.  Perhaps those folks also visit here?

Hi Jimylee!
Lurking with a large collection of sharp knives!


za Offline ?eter

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Re: One Thousand "$1000" Dollars SAK on eBay!!!
Reply #20 on: May 15, 2013, 07:42:50 AM
Ok, I've been around collecting for a while, but that's the most crazy auction bidding i've seen in a long time.
I wonder if the buyer 'jimyleee' from China follows through with the purchase and pays up?  :think:

He's just won an auction I posted (sadly not for $1000), and paid immediately. Feedback is 100% so I don't think there is anything to worry about


cn Offline CYYL

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Re: One Thousand "$1000" Dollars SAK on eBay!!!
Reply #21 on: May 15, 2013, 01:27:08 PM
This just seems to be ridiculous though. Are these that scarce, or is there a perception out
there that the worth of these will continue to climb even higher?

With Voyageurs its mostly perception. That's not to say that they aren't very cool (the only official alox with scissors) and unusual, but they are not as hard to find as people on the internet make them out to be ("OMG they are super, super rare!!!!").

Long winded opinion on SAK collecting to follow:

Sites like this forum promote interest in the hobby of collecting these old/unusual knives. This in and of itself is fine - there are a lot of coin collecting forums that don't typically cause prices to spike. IMO, the price spikes with SAKs come as a combo of heightened awareness from places like this plus there three problems:

1. The majority of SAK collectors are new to the hobby and only get into it for a year or so.
2. there is very, very little quantifiable data on how rare any model of SAK is.
3. The main source for old SAKs is primarily eBay, where they are sold in a very serial type fashion.

The result of these three issues causes a relatively constant stream of new people, without any history or experience, to jump in feet first into eBay and buy up every single "rare" knife they can find for as much as they can pay, because they read here (correctly or not) that its rare and they have no clue when they'll ever find one of these for sale again.

This Jimylee is just the latest (and possibly the wealthiest) person to do this. He's been buying heavily only since Feb 2013. In addition to his $1000 Voyageur, he also bought a 1984 Commemorative Champion for $370 and lost an XXLT witha $700 bid. I can tell you from my years of collecting that an XXLT is, on average, a $350 knife. They go up for sale (almost always in NIB condition) about once a month. The 1984 Champion is a $150-ish knife that goes up for sale (again typically NIB) every month and a half.

These guys then get tired out (or buy all the knives they want) and disappear. Prices settle down for a while, then a couple months later a new guy appears and it starts all over again. Lather, rinse, repeat. However, the damage is done - the prices come down a bit, but not to the previous levels. For example, people will remember this auction for a while. Next time a red NIB Voyageur goes up for sale they'll be thrilled to get it for $500 (OMG it's a $1000 knife!!!). However, it was "only" a $350 knife before Jimy bid it up to $1000. Now it's a $500 knife - the prices have been bumped.

BTW, understand, I'm not really condemning these guys for this. Just trying to explain it. If I think back to when I started collecting 5 years ago, I was one of these guys, albeit on a slightly smaller scale (prices weren't as high back then and lord knows I don't have this kind of money). Anyway, food for thought.

Back to the original question - how rare are Voyageurs? Here you go. Most ever paid is by Jimy as you can obviously see. Least ever paid was $10. The go up for sale on average once every 33 days and they average about $75-$125 based on condition:

(Image removed from quote.)

Really impressive explanation! :salute:
keep cooldown and learning and the best way to collection i think.


br Offline rmagralha

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Re: One Thousand "$1000" Dollars SAK on eBay!!!
Reply #22 on: May 15, 2013, 08:29:07 PM
If you guys were thinking on bidding on this one...

http://www.ebay.com/itm/111068678565?ssPageName=STRK:MEWAX:IT&_trksid=p3984.m1423.l2649

Think twice, I think jimmylee is on it....  :cry:  :rofl:


gb Offline nsa-x-file

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Re: One Thousand "$1000" Dollars SAK on eBay!!!
Reply #23 on: May 15, 2013, 10:21:21 PM
If you guys were thinking on bidding on this one...

http://www.ebay.com/itm/111068678565?ssPageName=STRK:MEWAX:IT&_trksid=p3984.m1423.l2649

Think twice, I think jimmylee is on it....  :cry:  :rofl:

I did see that as well. Glad I don't collect those.
Will be very interesting to see how long he can keep up the big buying.





do Offline Blade runner

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Re: One Thousand "$1000" Dollars SAK on eBay!!!
Reply #24 on: May 15, 2013, 11:26:20 PM
He buys 2or3 SAK of the same model, no matter how much is paid, bought 2 Green Pioneer with the red shield for 490.00, bought an old new stock Pioneer on monday and is bidding for two more recently posted  ::)
I think is time to call his wife :rant: :rofl:


br Offline rmagralha

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Re: One Thousand "$1000" Dollars SAK on eBay!!!
Reply #25 on: May 15, 2013, 11:48:03 PM
If you guys were thinking on bidding on this one...

http://www.ebay.com/itm/111068678565?ssPageName=STRK:MEWAX:IT&_trksid=p3984.m1423.l2649

Think twice, I think jimmylee is on it....  :cry:  :rofl:

I did see that as well. Glad I don't collect those.
Will be very interesting to see how long he can keep up the big buying.

I was thinking on bidding as this is one SAK that I don't have and would like to add to my collection, I think now I´ll just watch what will happen.

He buys 2or3 SAK of the same model, no matter how much is paid, bought 2 Green Pioneer with the red shield for 490.00, bought an old new stock Pioneer on monday and is bidding for two more recently posted  ::)
I think is time to call his wife :rant: :rofl:


He gotta be single....the man is unstoppable  :ahhh


us Offline condcup

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Re: One Thousand "$1000" Dollars SAK on eBay!!!
Reply #26 on: May 17, 2013, 11:43:55 PM
Another one!!! :o



hr Offline enki_ck

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gb Offline nsa-x-file

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Re: One Thousand "$1000" Dollars SAK on eBay!!!
Reply #28 on: May 18, 2013, 10:56:37 AM
Zag?

Could be.  :think:
As some alox knives are selling high at the moment I can't blame him or anyone else for trying.
But a $1,000 USD but-it-now was a bit of a surprise to say the least.

You never know 'jimyleee' from China may be silly enough to bite if he doesn't own it already.  :rofl:
And looking at other auctions he's won just this month his collection is coming along very nicely.








hr Offline enki_ck

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Re: One Thousand "$1000" Dollars SAK on eBay!!!
Reply #29 on: May 18, 2013, 01:46:28 PM
I thought so too. Well if it is Zag, good luck with the sale. :salute: This one in this condition is definitely rarer than the damascus Pioneers that recently sold for :ahhh amounts so it could happen it these crazy times. >:D


 

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